Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.044145 0.051993 0.060775 0.071323 0.083642 0.097569 0.114505
2025-07-13 0.032582 0.042889 0.055701 0.072765 0.094869 0.122507 0.159669
2025-07-20 0.025534 0.036645 0.051624 0.073229 0.103526 0.144430 0.203788
2025-07-27 0.020929 0.032266 0.048613 0.073790 0.111468 0.165630 0.249259
2025-08-03 0.017764 0.029144 0.046537 0.074886 0.119754 0.187813 0.298629
2025-08-10 0.015623 0.027095 0.045560 0.077212 0.129856 0.213588 0.356449
2025-08-17 0.012993 0.023736 0.041884 0.074486 0.131263 0.225624 0.393723
2025-08-24 0.011293 0.021640 0.039916 0.074189 0.136445 0.244141 0.443691
2025-08-31 0.009789 0.019626 0.037744 0.073124 0.139980 0.260053 0.490865
2025-09-07 0.008873 0.018552 0.037089 0.074670 0.148330 0.285281 0.557602
2025-09-14 0.007822 0.017035 0.035354 0.073864 0.152050 0.302331 0.611026
2025-09-21 0.006815 0.015440 0.033223 0.071937 0.153243 0.314596 0.656521
2025-09-28 0.005888 0.013880 0.030977 0.069525 0.153284 0.324912 0.700129
2025-10-05 0.005413 0.013248 0.030595 0.071023 0.161714 0.353196 0.784192
2025-10-12 0.004916 0.012481 0.029804 0.071496 0.167969 0.377673 0.863205
2025-10-19 0.004485 0.011798 0.029098 0.072047 0.174445 0.403336 0.947862
2025-10-26 0.004136 0.011259 0.028646 0.073118 0.182232 0.432758 1.044420
2025-11-02 0.003892 0.010947 0.028692 0.075392 0.193145 0.470484 1.164510
2025-11-09 0.003415 0.009938 0.026860 0.072728 0.191689 0.479325 1.217616
2025-11-16 0.003110 0.009346 0.026006 0.072438 0.196110 0.502626 1.308388
2025-11-23 0.002806 0.008704 0.024927 0.071397 0.198455 0.521110 1.389409
2025-11-30 0.002637 0.008429 0.024798 0.072908 0.207711 0.557893 1.521101
2025-12-07 0.002398 0.007902 0.023889 0.072121 0.210656 0.578884 1.614335